NFL Analysis5 min read

Caleb Williams vs. Jordan Love: Who Actually Won 2025?

Spoiler: the numbers are loud, but we're louder.

Listen, folks, pull up a stool, because we’re settling this right now over a couple cold ones. Caleb Williams versus Jordan Love—who had the better 2025 season? The Bears guy or the Packers guy? I’m telling you, the stats are throwing haymakers, and if you’re still riding the “Love is the steady vet” narrative, you might wanna sit down before I knock that stool out from under you.

Let’s get the obvious out of the way: Jordan Love played 15 games. Caleb Williams played all 17 like the Energizer Bunny with a cannon arm. Already we’re in apples-to-apples territory, but fine—let’s do the per-game math so nobody cries foul later. Williams: roughly 232 passing yards per game. Love: about 225. Williams: 22.8 rushing yards per pop. Love: 13.3. Fantasy points? Williams averaged around 18.5 a game. Love? 15.4.

You see where this is going? I’m not even warmed up yet.

The Full 2025 Numbers, No Cherry-Picking

Caleb Williams (Bears, 17 games)

3,942 passing yards, 27 TDs, 7 INTs, 58.1% completion (yeah, the worst among qualifying QBs—more on that in a second), 90.1 passer rating, 388 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs, sacked 24 times, and a whopping 314.7 fantasy points.

Jordan Love (Packers, 15 games)

3,381 passing yards, 23 TDs, 6 INTs, 66.3% completion, 101.2 passer rating, 199 rushing yards, 0 rushing TDs, sacked 21 times, 231.1 fantasy points.

Now, before the Packers faithful start throwing cheese curds at the screen, let’s talk accuracy. Love wins the completion percentage battle hands-down—66.3% to Williams’ brutal 58.1%. That’s not close. Love was the more precise surgeon. Williams? He was out there slinging it like he stole the playbook from a backyard football game and dared the defense to keep up.

But here’s the thing—and I’m about ready to flip this table just thinking about it—volume and impact. Williams put up nearly 600 more passing yards in two extra games while flat-out beating Love on touchdowns too—27 to 23, not “close,” beating—with only one more pick. One! The kid was turning the ball over less relative to the shots he was taking. And those 388 rushing yards plus three scores? Love had 199 and a donut on the ground. Williams wasn’t just playing quarterback; he was playing playmaker.

You know what really gets me? The sacks. Both guys took a beating—24 for Caleb, 21 for Jordan. But Williams was out there scrambling, extending plays, and still dropping dimes (or at least close enough that his receivers made bank). Love had the cleaner pocket presence, sure, but Williams was manufacturing chaos and winning anyway.

Let me riff on this for a second: Imagine you’re a defensive coordinator. You game-plan all week to contain Jordan Love, the guy who’s gonna hit his checkdowns, post a tidy 101.2 rating, and go home happy. Solid. Respectable. Then you face Caleb Williams, who’s completing passes at a rate that makes your coordinator question his life choices, but somehow he’s still torching you for 232 yards a night, running for first downs, and piling up fantasy gold like it’s his side hustle.

Who would you rather prepare for? The guy who looks good on the stat sheet, or the guy who breaks the stat sheet and your will?

Look, I’m not saying Williams was perfect. That 58.1% completion? Oof. It’s the kind of number that makes traditionalists clutch their pearls and mutter about “fundamentals.” But in today’s NFL—where explosives, RPOs, and creating off-schedule magic win games—Williams was the one doing the heavy lifting. Higher yardage, more TDs through the air and on the ground, better per-game fantasy output, and he showed up for two more weeks while Love was presumably getting that shoulder iced or whatever kept him to 15.

Jordan Love had the better “on-paper efficiency” season in some metrics. I’ll give him that. The passer rating gap (101.2 to 90.1) isn’t nothing. But let’s be honest with ourselves here, bar-stool to bar-stool: If you’re building a team around one of these guys for 2026 and beyond, who’s got the higher ceiling and the proven ability to carry a franchise on his back (and his legs)?

Caleb Williams, that’s who. The numbers back it up even when they look a little ugly in one column. He wasn’t the most accurate. He was the most productive. And in this league, production puts butts in seats and rings in the case.

So yeah, I’m calling it: Caleb Williams had the better 2025 season. Fight me in the comments—I’ve got another round and plenty more stats where these came from.

Stats pulled straight from the grind. Always do your own homework, never bet the farm on one guy’s hot streak, and if you’re feeling lucky, check the rest of the projections here on AiOdds.io. Gamble responsibly, 21+ only.